Turkish export surge fuels economic growth in the final quarter

Turkish export surge fuels economic growth in the final quarter
In our article titled "Turkish Export Surge Boosts Economic Growth in the Last Quarter," we highlight one of the most important drivers of Turkish economic growth in the current stage: Turkish exports, which are rising at an accelerating pace amidst the recovery of the local economy and the improvem...
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In our article titled "Turkish Export Surge Boosts Economic Growth in the Last Quarter," we highlight one of the most important drivers of Turkish economic growth in the current stage: Turkish exports, which are rising at an accelerating pace amidst the recovery of the local economy and the improvement of global market indicators.

In recent years, Turkey has witnessed a remarkable leap in its exports to various countries around the world, making it one of the most active countries in foreign trade within emerging markets.

This article aims to analyze how Turkish exports are rising and serving as a fundamental pillar in achieving Turkey's economic growth in the last quarter, by reviewing the volume of Turkish exports, studying Turkish export trends, and clarifying the role of exports in Turkey's economy and their direct impact on the growth of the Turkish GDP.

We will also discuss in detail the analysis of Turkey's exports for 2024 and 2025, and review Turkey's strategy to promote exports through support policies and trade expansion.

In addition, we will review the challenges the government faces in maintaining this momentum, presenting precise numerical examples and global comparisons to help the reader understand the economic picture comprehensively.

The Reality and Development of Turkish Exports

Turkey's Export Volume and the Recorded Increase

Turkish exports saw a remarkable rise in 2025, with a total value of more than $110.9 billion during the first five months of the year, a clear increase compared to the same period in 2024.

This figure is a strong indicator of the continued recovery in Turkey's economy and the increasing reliance on export sectors as one of the drivers of Turkish GDP growth.

On a monthly level, the volume of Turkish exports in May 2025 reached approximately $24.82 billion, achieving an increase of 2.6% compared to April.

This performance shows that Turkey is gradually and flexibly boosting exports, while maintaining balance in the trade balance despite global economic challenges.

Turkish exports rely on diverse sectors, including manufacturing, chemicals, iron and steel, textiles, and automobiles, reflecting the diversity of the Turkish economy and its productive strength.

Data shows that Turkey's export is no longer limited to low-value goods but includes medium and high-tech products, a strategic development in Turkish export trends toward markets with increasing demand for technical goods.

Share of Exports in GDP

Exports today constitute more than 30% of the GDP, reflecting the importance of the role of exports in Turkey's economy as a major source of growth.

Every increase in Turkish exports is directly reflected in increased domestic production, higher employment rates, and improved balance of payments.

This outstanding performance has contributed to strengthening international investors' confidence in the growth of the Turkish economy and proved that Turkey's economy is recovering thanks to strong export performance.

It is noteworthy that Turkish industries have been able to reach more than 230 markets around the world, making Turkish exports and economic growth intertwined in every fiscal quarter of 2025.

Turkey's Export: Key Sectors and Markets

Turkish automobile exports are among the most prominent sectors contributing to the growth of the Turkish GDP, representing more than 14% of total exports. This is followed by the chemical industries sector at 12%, then mineral products and textiles.

Germany, Iraq, the United States, Italy, and the United Kingdom are among the largest recipient markets for Turkish exports. This global spread makes Turkey's export an activity with a direct impact on supporting the growth of the Turkish economy and achieving the stability of the local currency.

How Rising Exports Boost Turkey's Economic Growth in the Last Quarter

Exports as an Engine of Growth

Turkish exports are one of the most important drivers of Turkish economic growth in the last quarter, as they contributed to improving the trade balance and reducing the external deficit. Every 1% increase in exports contributes about 0.3% to the GDP, according to estimates from the Ministry of Trade.

The rising global demand for Turkish products, especially from European and Middle Eastern markets, has led to Turkey's economy recovering faster than expected.

This increase in Turkish exports did not come by chance but as a result of intensive government efforts in supporting exporters, improving industrial infrastructure, and facilitating access to international markets.

Link Between Exports and GDP

Every increase in Turkish exports and economic growth means an increase in domestic production, the employment of more workers, and the stimulation of industrial investments.

This direct correlation between exports and the GDP makes analyzing Turkey's exports a vital tool in measuring the health of the macroeconomy.

Data from the last quarter of 2025 showed that the growth of the Turkish GDP reached about 1.5% on a quarterly basis, driven primarily by increased foreign demand for Turkish goods.

Implications for Economic Confidence

Improved exports boost the confidence of investors and consumers alike, as exports are a fundamental indicator of Turkey's economic recovery.

With its rise, the Turkish lira witnessed relative stability against the dollar, which increased the flow of direct foreign investments and gave a new impetus to the growth path of the Turkish economy in the last quarter.

Analysis of Turkey's Exports: Challenges and Opportunities

Analysis of Turkey's Exports by Sector

The analysis of Turkey's exports shows a disparity in performance between different sectors. While manufacturing industries achieved annual growth exceeding 5%, some sectors, such as marine industries, declined by more than 60% in mid-2025.

This indicates the need to diversify the export base by increasing the added value of products and improving the quality of Turkey's export in global markets.

Challenges Facing Exports

Turkey faces several challenges in boosting exports, most notably exchange rate fluctuations, high energy costs, and the difficulty of international shipping. Competition from Asian countries such as China and India also makes it necessary for Turkey to develop its products to be more distinctive and of higher quality.

Geopolitical tensions in the region also sometimes affect Turkish export trends, requiring a long-term strategy focused on trade stability.

Available Opportunities

Despite the challenges, there are significant opportunities to increase the volume of Turkish exports by expanding in African and Asian markets. The rising demand for defense and technological industries also represents an important opportunity for Turkey's export of highly profitable products.

Turkish Export Trends Towards 2025 and Beyond

Turkey's Export Forecast 2025

Forecasts indicate that Turkey's exports in 2025 will exceed $270 billion, supported by the growth of new markets and the increase in domestic industrial production.

The government seeks to achieve this goal by supporting small and medium-sized enterprises and providing export incentives, within a long-term plan aimed at making Turkey one of the top 10 exporting countries in the world by 2030.

Focus on New Markets and Added Value

Turkey is working to strengthen its exports to African and Asian markets, focusing on high-tech goods. The government is also encouraging e-exports, which are witnessing rapid growth.

Partnerships and Foreign Investment

Turkey signed new trade agreements with European Union countries and Gulf Arab countries during 2025, which expands Turkey's export base and makes Turkey strategically and sustainably boost exports.

The Role of Exports in Turkey's Economy and its Impact on Growth

Exports as a Fundamental Component of Growth

Turkish exports are one of the main pillars in building Turkey's modern economy. By developing export industries and increasing sectoral diversification, the government has been able to transform the economy from a model that relies on domestic demand to an export-oriented economy.

Direct Impact on Economic Indicators

Every increase in Turkey's exports and its impact on growth translates into an improvement in inflation indicators, a reduction in the trade deficit, and an improvement in the credit rating. Turkey has already witnessed an improvement in the economic confidence index by 3% during the last quarter, driven by rising exports.

Boosting the Turkish GDP

Thanks to the continued growth in Turkish exports and economic growth, Turkish GDP growth is expected to exceed 4% during 2025, the highest growth rate since 2021, reflecting the success of government policies in enhancing productive competitiveness.

How Does Turkey Strategize to Promote Exports?

Setting Goals and Policies

Turkey's strategy to promote exports includes plans to expand free zones, facilitate financing for exporters, and modernize customs laws. Electronic portals have also been developed to facilitate cross-border trade operations.

Supporting Export Sectors

The government is working to support sectors with high potential, such as defense industries, technology, and modern agriculture. This support shows that Turkey is boosting exports by stimulating innovation and domestic manufacturing.

Focusing on Innovation and Technology

Investing in technology and vocational training has become a government priority to promote Turkey's export of high value-added products. This step is part of the new economic vision to achieve a balance between industrial and technological growth.

Challenges Facing the Growth of the Turkish Economy Despite Rising Exports

Weak Overall Growth

Although Turkish exports are rising, the growth of Turkey's economy in the last quarter still faces pressure due to declining domestic demand and rising interest rates. However, the export sector remains the main driver of recovery.

Trade Deficit and Dependence on Resources

The trade deficit remains a major challenge facing Turkey's economy recovering, especially with rising energy imports. However, the government is working to reduce this gap by increasing domestic energy production and promoting national industries.

Global Competitiveness

Turkey seeks to improve its position in global supply chains and expand exports to new, non-traditional markets to ensure the sustainability of Turkish export trends in the coming years.

Conclusion

In conclusion, it can be said that the rise in Turkish exports clearly boosts economic growth in the last quarter and shows that Turkish exports are rising at a pace that supports the growth and stability of the Turkish economy.

The role of exports in Turkey's economy has become a decisive factor in driving the growth of the Turkish GDP towards higher levels, with a strong contribution from the industrial and service sector.

With the continued implementation of Turkey's strategy to promote exports and improve Turkish export trends towards international markets, Turkey is expected to continue to boost exports at an increasing rate in the coming years, making Turkey's economy recover more steadily and sustainably.

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